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2Q 2026

Robo Industry (2026)

Highlights

  • Industry assets now exceed $1.4 trillion, and the industry has entered a period of consolidation, with surviving platforms competing on scale, pricing, planning depth, and customization.
  • Another wave of exits over the past twelve months: UBS wound down Advice Advantage, U.S. Bank shut Automated Investor, and Schwab announced the retirement of Intelligent Portfolios Premium and Intelligent Income.
  • Pricing is splitting along wealth lines. Betterment raised its monthly subscription on small accounts while eliminating advisory fees above $1 million, making explicit that profit sits with wealthier clients.
  • Wealthfront’s December 2025 IPO opened the books on one of the largest pure-play robos: record revenue, but roughly three quarters of it from cash management tied to falling short-term rates. Its first post-IPO quarter showed the squeeze, with revenue growth slowing to 7% even as platform assets hit a record $96.6 billion.
  • Tax management drove the year’s product innovation, with Fidelity Go adding tax-loss harvesting and direct indexing pointing toward long/short tax-advantaged strategies as the next step.
  • Client-facing AI finally started shipping in 2026. Robinhood Strategies passed $2 billion in assets, Betterment launched an AI-enabled Account Recommender in March, and SoFi followed with its Coach assistant in May and the Composer strategy builder in June.

Robos Reaching Maturity

With assets under management above the $1.4 trillion mark, the robo-advice industry is well into its mature phase. Most early adopters have been onboarded, and the competitive question has shifted from acquiring first-time digital investors to serving existing ones profitably. Surviving platforms now compete on scale, pricing, planning depth, and customization.

That maturity has exposed the core tension of the category. Low-cost advice remains difficult to scale, because profit increasingly sits with wealthier clients while the smaller accounts that originally defined the robo category are harder to serve economically. Robo advisors have permanently democratized access to professionally managed portfolios, but the past year showed the economics of that mission getting harder, not easier.

Firms Continue to Exit or Restructure

The difficulty in achieving profitability showed up most visibly on the exit side. UBS wound down Advice Advantage in June 2025, completing its retreat from the standalone robo space that began with the failed Wealthfront acquisition in 2022. U.S. Bank shut Automated Investor in October 2025. Most notably, Schwab announced in December 2025 the retirement of Schwab Intelligent Portfolios Premium, its hybrid tier with CFP access, along with Schwab Intelligent Income, though the standalone Schwab Intelligent Portfolios service remains in place.

These follow the earlier wave of departures: Goldman Sachs’s sale of Marcus Invest accounts to Betterment in 2024, JPMorgan’s closure of Automated Investing, Ellevest’s exit from retail digital advice to focus on higher-net-worth clients, and BlackRock’s FutureAdvisor before them. The lesson of the past several years continues to hold, which is that without a captive audience or a distinct, profitable niche, maintaining a proprietary robo-advisor is a challenging proposition. Even with a captive audience, as Schwab’s retreat from its hybrid tier shows, not every service level pays for itself.

Pricing Splits Along Wealth Lines

Where earlier years saw broad moves toward monetization, the past year made the bifurcation explicit. Betterment’s January 5, 2026 fee changes raised the monthly subscription on accounts under $24,000 from $4 to $5 while eliminating advisory fees entirely on balances above $1 million. SoFi made a similar directional move in November 2024, ending seven years of free service with a 0.25% annual advisory fee.

Across the industry, smaller accounts increasingly cost more to operate and are being asked to pay for it, while wealthier clients receive the kind of fee accommodation typical of traditional asset management. It is an ironic turn for a category that was founded on serving the small investor cheaply, and it suggests the industry’s center of gravity is drifting up-market.

Wealthfront Goes Public

Wealthfront’s December 2025 IPO gave the industry something it has rarely had, audited public financials from a large pure-play robo. In its most recent quarter (ended January 31, 2026), the firm reported record revenue of $96.1 million, up 16% year over year, with $94.1 billion in platform assets and 1.42 million funded clients.

The composition of that revenue is the interesting part. Cash management produced 73% of it ($69.7 million), tying the business to short-term rates the Federal Reserve has been cutting. Each cut hits twice, lowering per-dollar revenue on the cash program and leaving a lower headline yield that makes the cash account less competitive against alternatives. Wealthfront is working to shift away from that dependence, with investment advisory revenue up 31% year over year against 12% for cash management.

The first post-IPO quarter, ended April 30, 2026, showed both sides of that story. Total platform assets reached a record $96.6 billion, up 19% year over year, but revenue growth slowed to 7% ($90.5 million) as the rate sensitivity of the cash business asserted itself. The firm’s response has been to push cross-product adoption. A March incentive pays clients a 25 basis point boost to their cash-account yield if they direct at least $1,000 per month in deposits and fund an investment account, and asset-weighted cross-product adoption reached roughly 62.5% by quarter end. Wealthfront also expanded access to its Home Lending product during the quarter. Whether advisory growth can offset slower cash revenue, and how public investors price that transition, will set the trajectory from here. For the rest of the industry, the filings quantified what many suspected, which is that even a profitable, at-scale robo leans heavily on banking-style economics rather than advisory fees.

Tax Management Leads Product Innovation

Tax management drove the year’s product changes. Fidelity Go added tax-loss harvesting in December 2025 for taxable accounts of $25,000 or more, closing a long-standing gap with independents like Wealthfront and Betterment, which have offered it for years. Betterment’s Tax-Smart Bond Portfolio and Wealthfront’s Automated Bond Ladder, both launched in 2024, remain the more differentiated after-tax fixed-income products in our universe.

The next leg of tax innovation is taking shape further up the sophistication curve. Wealthfront’s stock-level tax-loss harvesting already operates as direct indexing for accounts above $500,000, and the step beyond that is long/short tax-advantaged strategies, which are beginning to reach retail investors through specialized firms. Adjacent financial services are the other open lane: Wealthfront launched Home Lending in November 2025 in Colorado and Texas, with California availability and jumbo ARMs scheduled for 2026. As advisory fees compress, expect more robos to look for revenue in the products that surround the portfolio rather than the portfolio itself.

AI and Advice: The Wave Begins to Arrive

After a year in which Robinhood Strategies stood alone as the only major robo built around an AI recommendation engine, client-facing AI finally began shipping across the industry in 2026. Robinhood’s head start has paid off, with Strategies growing from roughly 200,000 funded customers and $1.3 billion in assets at the end of 2025 to more than 300,000 customers and nearly $2 billion by mid-2026.

The incumbents’ responses arrived this spring, and their design choices are telling. Betterment launched an AI-enabled Account Recommender in March 2026 that pairs advisor-built logic with AI-generated explanations, keeping the recommendation rules human-authored and using AI for personalization and communication. SoFi went further, launching SoFi Coach, an AI financial assistant, in May 2026 and then Composer by SoFi in June, a platform built from its acquisition of Composer Securities that lets investors describe a strategy in plain English and have it converted into rules-based, backtestable automation. Notably, Composer sits on the self-directed side of the house rather than the advisory side, as the investor approves explicit rules before anything trades.

Fiduciary requirements and supervision costs still shape where AI is allowed to operate, so firms are deploying it for explanation, guidance, and user-authored automation while keeping the regulated act of recommendation either human-designed or, in Robinhood’s case, tightly supervised. The gap between what AI can do in a consumer app and what a regulated advisor will let it say to a client is narrowing, but it is being closed carefully, from the edges inward.

Outlook

The industry’s era of refinement and consolidation continues, and the past year sharpened its terms. Exits are no longer limited to subscale startups; established banks and even Schwab’s hybrid tier stepped back. Pricing now openly favors the wealthy client over the small one. The first major pure-play IPO revealed a business built as much on cash spreads as on advice, and its first public quarters are demonstrating how directly falling rates flow through to revenue. Meanwhile the AI race, dormant for a year after Robinhood’s opening move, is now genuinely underway, though every entrant so far has kept AI on the guidance and automation side of the fiduciary line rather than handing it the recommendation itself. The next breakthroughs still sit at the intersection of AI-driven personalization, advanced tax optimization, and access to a broader product shelf. The ongoing challenge is unchanged, as digital platforms must remain not only profitable but demonstrably more valuable to investors than a straightforward passive index fund strategy.

Disclosures

In previous reports, the initial target asset allocation was calculated as the asset allocation at the end of the first month after the account was opened. In the Q3 2018 report, we adjusted our method to calculate the initial target asset allocation as of the end of the trading day after all initial trades were placed in the accounts. This adjustment has caused some portfolio’s initial target allocation to be updated from previous reports. These updates did not change any initial target allocations of equity, fixed income, cash, or other by more than 1%.

Prior to Q3 2018, due to technological limitations of our portfolio management system, some accounts which contained fractional shares had misstated the quantity of shares when transactions quantities were smaller than 1/1000th of a share in a position as a result of purchases, sales, or dividend reinvestments. This had a marginal effect on the historical performance of the accounts. The rounding of position quantities caused by this limitation has been resolved, and quantities have been adjusted to reflect the full position to the 1/1,000,000th of a share as of the end of Q3 2018. Therefore, this rounding of fractional shares will not be necessary in the future.

At certain custodians, a combination of the custodian providing us a limited number of digits on fractional share and fractional cent transactions rounding errors are introduced into our tracking. At quarter-end starting 3/31/2020, we implemented a process to enter small transactions to eliminate any rounding errors that have built up to more than a full cent. These transactions are small and do not have an appreciable effect on performance. Sharpe ratios and Standard Deviation calculations are calculated with the assumption of 252 trading days in a year.

This report represents Condor Capital Wealth Management’s research, analysis and opinion only; the period tested was short in duration and may not provide a meaningful analysis; and, there can be no assurance that the performance trend demonstrated by Robos vs indices during the short period will continue. A copy of Condor’s Disclosure Brochure is available at www.condorcapital.com. Condor Capital holds a position in Schwab in one of the strategies used in many of their discretionary accounts. As of 6/30/2026, the total size of the position was 70,130 shares of Schwab common stock. As of 6/30/2026, accounts discretionarily managed by Condor Capital Management held bonds issued by the following companies: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, E*Trade, Citi Group, Citizens Financial Group, Ally Financial, Charles Schwab, Fidelity, and TD Bank.